trajectory prediction module
GoalNet: Goal Areas Oriented Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction
Lee, Ching-Lin, Wang, Zhi-Xuan, Lai, Kuan-Ting, Fadillah, Amar
Predicting the future trajectories of pedestrians on the road is an important task for autonomous driving. The pedestrian trajectory prediction is affected by scene paths, pedestrian's intentions and decision-making, which is a multi-modal problem. Most recent studies use past trajectories to predict a variety of potential future trajectory distributions, which do not account for the scene context and pedestrian targets. Instead of predicting the future trajectory directly, we propose to use scene context and observed trajectory to predict the goal points first, and then reuse the goal points to predict the future trajectories. By leveraging the information from scene context and observed trajectory, the uncertainty can be limited to a few target areas, which represent the "goals" of the pedestrians. In this paper, we propose GoalNet, a new trajectory prediction neural network based on the goal areas of a pedestrian. Our network can predict both pedestrian's trajectories and bounding boxes. The overall model is efficient and modular, and its outputs can be changed according to the usage scenario. Experimental results show that GoalNet significantly improves the previous state-of-the-art performance by 48.7% on the JAAD and 40.8% on the PIE dataset.
Graph-based Prediction and Planning Policy Network (GP3Net) for scalable self-driving in dynamic environments using Deep Reinforcement Learning
Chowdhury, Jayabrata, Shivaraman, Venkataramanan, Sundaram, Suresh, Sujit, P B
Recent advancements in motion planning for Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) show great promise in using expert driver behaviors in non-stationary driving environments. However, learning only through expert drivers needs more generalizability to recover from domain shifts and near-failure scenarios due to the dynamic behavior of traffic participants and weather conditions. A deep Graph-based Prediction and Planning Policy Network (GP3Net) framework is proposed for non-stationary environments that encodes the interactions between traffic participants with contextual information and provides a decision for safe maneuver for AV. A spatio-temporal graph models the interactions between traffic participants for predicting the future trajectories of those participants. The predicted trajectories are utilized to generate a future occupancy map around the AV with uncertainties embedded to anticipate the evolving non-stationary driving environments. Then the contextual information and future occupancy maps are input to the policy network of the GP3Net framework and trained using Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) algorithm. The proposed GP3Net performance is evaluated on standard CARLA benchmarking scenarios with domain shifts of traffic patterns (urban, highway, and mixed). The results show that the GP3Net outperforms previous state-of-the-art imitation learning-based planning models for different towns. Further, in unseen new weather conditions, GP3Net completes the desired route with fewer traffic infractions. Finally, the results emphasize the advantage of including the prediction module to enhance safety measures in non-stationary environments.
Self-Aware Trajectory Prediction for Safe Autonomous Driving
Shao, Wenbo, Li, Jun, Wang, Hong
Trajectory prediction is one of the key components of the autonomous driving software stack. Accurate prediction for the future movement of surrounding traffic participants is an important prerequisite for ensuring the driving efficiency and safety of intelligent vehicles. Trajectory prediction algorithms based on artificial intelligence have been widely studied and applied in recent years and have achieved remarkable results. However, complex artificial intelligence models are uncertain and difficult to explain, so they may face unintended failures when applied in the real world. In this paper, a self-aware trajectory prediction method is proposed. By introducing a self-awareness module and a two-stage training process, the original trajectory prediction module's performance is estimated online, to facilitate the system to deal with the possible scenario of insufficient prediction function in time, and create conditions for the realization of safe and reliable autonomous driving. Comprehensive experiments and analysis are performed, and the proposed method performed well in terms of self-awareness, memory footprint, and real-time performance, showing that it may serve as a promising paradigm for safe autonomous driving.